The Frontstretch: Big Six Questions Answered: Sylvania 300 by Amy Henderson -- Monday September 26, 2011

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Big Six Questions Answered: Sylvania 300

Amy Henderson · Monday September 26, 2011

 

Looking for the Who, What, When, Where, Why and How behind Sunday’s second race of the Chase at New Hampshire? Amy Henderson has you covered with her journalistic rendition of the Big Six Questions everyone wanted to ask after the race…

Who…gets my shoutout of the race?

He didn’t get much television time, except for a brief stint during green-flag stops when he took over the race lead, but Regan Smith very quietly put his No. 78 in the top 10 for the day, finishing tenth. Sure, he capitalized on fuel mileage… but Smith raced all day to get in position to do so. Considering what he has to work with, driving for a single-car team this fourth-year veteran has really shown some mettle in the driver’s seat in 2011. It would be interesting to see what he could do in the cockpit of a car like the No. 33, possibly open at Richard Childress Racing for an entire season in 2012.

What… was THAT?

Kurt Busch’s mouth got him in hot water even before the rag dropped on Sunday, with a profane comment towards a cameraman making it onto the national telecast.

“Wait, what?” Part I: Drivers getting slapped on the wrist for swearing on television is nothing new. However, I don’t think I’ve ever seen a driver collecting a fine before the race even starts. At least until Loudon, where Kurt Busch upped the obscenity ante by dropping an F-Bomb at an ESPN cameraman after his No. 22 failed pre-race inspection. Dude, look, everyone knows you’re frustrated, but the cameraman was just doing his job. You could have, um, I don’t know, walked around him instead of making drama where there wasn’t much.

“Wait, what?” Part II: Speaking of the No. 22 not making it through inspection, the car was held for the body being too “offset” from the rear wheels. According to the team, the issue came from over-adjusting the track bar, and could be fixed by another track bar adjustment. That got me thinking, if the fix was as simple as a track bar adjustment, what’s to stop that team (or any team) from simply adjusting it back out of line during the race and then making a tweak to put it back within tolerances before post-race inspection, or during the final pit stop? Perhaps NASCAR needs to look at not allowing cars to be able to be adjusted to illegal proportions.

Where… did the polesitter wind up?

For the second week in a row, the man who won the pole saw his chances for winning the race slip away on the fumes of a spent fuel cell. This week’s victim was Ryan Newman, whose Stewart-Haas Racing teammate and owner won the race while Newman, after winning the July event at Loudon and tearing it up during qualifying, had to settle for bringing it home 25th. The result also was the likely demise of Newman’s 2011 title hopes as he slipped to 11th in points, 34 behind leader Tony Stewart.

When…will I be loved?

Villain of the week, villain of the week…yeah, what villain? Sunday’s race at Loudon was so tame (perhaps another unwanted byproduct of the Chase?) that finding a villain is like trying to find bad chocolate: it’s only going to be out there if you get nit-picky. And since I don’t want to pick nits, I’m going to jointly blame NASCAR and Goodyear for the type of racing we’ve been saddled with this year. A softer, less durable tire compound would all but eliminate fuel mileage racing by forcing teams to pit for tires before the end of a fuel run. Yes, the teams would hate it, and some would argue that it would be more dangerous. But I don’t buy that it would add danger if the teams created a pit strategy around changing tires before it came to blowouts.

Softer, grippier tires would also play into other strategy; they’re fast as can be on a short run, but need to be pampered for longer runs. A better compound would make for better racing and passing, especially on restarts, and would reduce fuel mileage racing either by forcing teams to pit before the end of a fuel run or by the cautions caused by tire failures when teams try to push it too far. It would put another aspect of racing back in the teams’ hands, which is never a bad thing.

Why…don’t start-and-park teams at least try to beat each other?

OK, maybe it defeats the purpose of starting and parking, but you’d think it would be beneficial to those teams to at least wait out a few others before cashing it in for the day. Why settle for, say 42nd when you could run until some more dropped out, giving the team more money for the effort? I get why some teams start and park (and think others are pretty low, leading on their drivers and employees), but I don’t understand why teams, especially the ones doing it for the right reasons, don’t at least and try to wait it out a little longer. If they need the money to race, shouldn’t they capitalize?

How…is the title picture looking after the second Chase race?

For all but the top four in points, the picture can be summed up in one word: bleak.

I may be going out on a limb here, but I really think that anyone more than 20 points out after New Hampshire is down for the count. If the teams control their own fates from here on out, fifth-place Jeff Gordon will have to beat a streaking Tony Stewart by 23 positions somewhere along the line in the next eight weeks. While that’s certainly possible, especially with the crapshoot commonly known as Talladega on the table, there’s not a lot of hope for a storybook ending with a lot of teams. Considering Gordon as the long shot, I’d wager the champion will come from among the top four in points right now: Stewart, Kevin Harvick, Brad Keselowski, or Carl Edwards. Defending champion Jimmie Johnson is done. Preseason favorite Denny Hamlin was done last week and put an exclamation mark on it this week.

Really, what this year’s Chase has illustrated so far is just how ridiculous the whole system is, especially when coupled with the current points system. Two of the four drivers in the top four flat don’t deserve a championship based on a full year’s performance, while two of the three drivers who had a barnburner of a points battle going on before NASCAR reset the points are all but finished in Jimmie Johnson and Kyle Busch. Often, the Chase doesn’t turn out the way it might otherwise have, but this year is making a mockery of the first 26 races. Why have them at all at this point?

Contact Amy Henderson

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Stephen HOOD
09/26/2011 07:10 AM
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I don’t know if you are right or not on the points. Dale is 26th points out after 3rd place and 17th place finishes. It isn’t difficult to imagine a scenario where Smoke or Harvick or Keselowski end up in 25th and Earnhardt or Kenseth or Johnson end up in first or second. The challenge for the bottom 5 (excluding 11th and 12th) is to start knocking off top 5s hoping that one of the top three or four stumble along the way. Although the top four are 1/2 a race ahead that means two finishes in the mid teens puts them right back in the middle of the pack. I think the points system is much more volatile than it appears unless the top four continue to knock of top 5s. I think it’s possible for Gordon and Harvick (and possibly Edwards) to continue this trend but I’ll be really surprised if Stewart or Keselowski are able to avoid a few finishes in the high 10s or 20s. I still believe Johnson is a threat although I think Harvick’s chances are looking the best with Gordon in a distant second. I’d love to see Keselowski pull of an upset and I expect Earnhardt in the top 5 at seasons end.

Bill B
09/26/2011 11:24 AM
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There are 8 races left. Someone that is 24 points behind Tony right now need only make up 3 positions per race. That doesn’t sound as bleak as you make it out to be.

Sue Rarick
09/26/2011 11:37 AM
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Considering the two races have been fuel milage races, it’s to early to make a good prediction. Some of the lead drivers at the moment have more success at fuel mileage races than regular full tilt boogie races. If the majority of the remaining races are fuel mileage you are right. If the majority of remaining races are regular races the points advantages will dwindle quickly.

Sherri T
09/26/2011 02:21 PM
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I think with Talledega still in the mix – there could be some major changes before we’re done.

SHOEMAN
09/26/2011 03:05 PM
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GO ROWDY!!!

ArkyBass
09/26/2011 03:31 PM
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On the Start and Park Race
Start n Park risk damaging thier cars, buying tires and fuel, having to pay a pit crew and other expenses if they keep running. I don’t have the numbers to ‘put a pencil to it’ but that would be the reason to get out eary.

Also I heard earlier in the year the ‘last place’ ca was going back to Charolette for inspection. That was supposed to keep them from coming in dead last…Anybody have ‘facts’?

Bill B
09/26/2011 06:29 PM
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Why don’t start an parkers try to last longer to finish above the other start and parkers? Just do the math…
43rd place paid $69,797
36th place paid $70,375
By outlasting the other start and parkers you can make a whopping $578 for your effort.
How much does a set of tires cost?

Wingcars6970
09/26/2011 07:39 PM
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“ Perhaps NASCAR needs to look at not allowing cars to be able to be adjusted to illegal proportions.”

No No No! This is the stuff that made Nascar. Playing with the gray areas for a small performance improvement. Do you want nascar to weld all the adjustable stuff up on the (Nascar mandated spec)cars so all the teams share the same adjustments? These guys are already in a super tight box….let them experiment with the little they have left.

Agree with the others on the points….I think Hambone is the only one who’s goose is truly cooked right now.

Doug in Washington (State)
09/26/2011 08:43 PM
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Set of tires costs about $2000, depending on where I read it.

To make enough prize money to offset the cost of one extra set of tires, you would need to run the whole race, and finish in the top 25. But then you would need 4-6 more sets of tires. The S&P guys generally buy 2-3 sets- one set used for qualifying and any post-qual practice, plus 1 set for opening practice. I think they’re required to buy at least one, maybe 3 sets. Sometimes they’ll use other teams used tires, but that’s not a guarantee.

8 teams started and parked at NH. Every non-top 35 team except the #38 parked, and one T-35 team did too (the #13). NASCAR could stop the practice, but they won’t. Pro-rate the prize money based on laps completed.

old farmer
09/27/2011 11:00 AM
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Anyone who s&p’s should be banned for two or three races.

Not enough cars to make the 43-car field w/o them? Who cares; they’re not racing anyway.

 

Contact Amy Henderson

Recent articles from Amy Henderson:

Earnhardt Ganassi Racing Announces Partnership with Cessna, Textron
Fans To Decide Format of Sprint Unlimited at Daytona
UNOH and Kentucky Speedway Extend Sponsorship Agreement
Earnhardt Out For Charlotte and Kansas After Talldega Concussion
Piquet, Jr. Wins K&N East Opener

Want to know more about Amy or see an archive of all of her articles? Check out her bio page for more information.