The Frontstretch: Tearing Apart the Trucks: Another Look at a Chase for the Championship by Beth Lunkenheimer -- Thursday November 11, 2010

Go to site navigation Go to article

Tearing Apart the Trucks: Another Look at a Chase for the Championship

Beth Lunkenheimer · Thursday November 11, 2010

 

As the Camping World Truck Series rolls into Phoenix for the 24th race this season, it’s likely Todd Bodine will walk out as the champion since he only needs a 19th-place finish to clinch, provided he starts the race at Homestead-Miami as well. Because of that, a question was asked earlier this week in Mirror Driving about whether the Truck Series should consider a Chase to help out the championship race. A few years ago, I took a look at the possibility , but after two consecutive years of a championship decided prior to the season finale at Homestead-Miami Speedway, it’s time to take a look at it again since we all know NASCAR likely will.

When I first considered a Chase for the Truck Series title a few years ago, one of my biggest reasons against it was the history of close battles through the years. More often than not, the championship is decided during the season finale, the way it should be.

Todd Bodine is a top 20 finish away from essentially locking up his second Truck Series title…and the chance to do burnouts in Homestead.

The only way to really know whether the series needs to go to a Chase format is to try, but I’m not suggesting that NASCAR just jump in head first. Instead, I’d like to take a look at a few previous seasons and see whether the idea actually makes sense.

Since the Chase in the Cup Series is 10 races out of 36 (28%), it only makes sense to have a Truck Series chase cover the same percentage of races. So in our examples, the Chase will be seven races long. Likewise, you can’t really have one-third of the field participating in the Chase, so we’ll be using 10 drivers in the Chase field rather than 12.

And since I’m trying to use the same type of rules used for the Cup Series, we’re going to add 10 points to the Chase reset of 5000 points for each race win during the “regular” season.

Interestingly enough, if the Truck Series were to implement a seven-race Chase for the championship, it would get started on the same weekend the Chase starts in the Cup Series at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

2010 Season

As everyone knows, Todd Bodine currently holds a 230-point lead with just two races remaining, but Aric Almirola has put together a string of 12 top-10 finishes in the last 12 races. Had the Truck Series reset the points before New Hampshire and used a Chase format instead, Almirola would actually hold an 11 point lead over Bodine, and the championship would be a three-man race, separated by just 27 points.



Driver Points Behind
Aric Almirola 5798
Todd Bodine 5787 -11
Johnny Sauter 5771 -27
Timothy Peters 5584 -214


Obviously the change to a Chase would have significantly impacted where this season would stand with two races remaining. Rather than one driver ready to clinch with little effort, you’d have three great drivers battling it out until the checkered flag flew over Homestead.

2009 Season

Last season, Ron Hornaday, Jr. was able to celebrate his championship at Phoenix in a dual burnout with team owner and race winner Kevin Harvick, and by the time the season finale was over, Hornaday, Jr. held a 197-point lead over his closest competitor, Matt Crafton. But what if they had used a Chase format?



Driver Points Behind
Matt Crafton 6094
Ron Hornaday, Jr. 5982 -112
Mike Skinner 5970 -124
Timothy Peters 5860 -230


Matt Crafton would have brought home the first championship for ThorSport Racing, and it would have been quite a blowout still under a Chase format, largely thanks to the string of seven top-10 finishes Crafton put together to close out the 2009 season.

2008 Season

Even though the intent with the Chase is to remove a large points lead and a driver clinching the championship before the season ends, my research and consideration would not be complete if I didn’t take the time to see what would have happened in some of the closest points battles as well.

It seems to me the 2008 season is the perfect place to start when looking at close points battles since it’s freshest in our memory. It came down to the final lap of the season finale, and Johnny Benson was the one on top by just seven points. If we were to apply my Chase rules to that season, here’s the result.



Driver Points Behind
Ron Hornaday, Jr. 6071
Johnny Benson 5994 -78
Matt Crafton 5873 -198
Rick Crawford 5853 -218


Hornaday, Jr. would have added another championship to his resume thanks to two DNFs for Benson in the final seven races of the season. In this case, the full season points battle was much more exciting than any manufactured battle could ever be.

Even though I’ve taken a look at championship blowouts and a close battle and compared statistics, I’m still not interested in a Chase in the Truck Series. Sure it may have given us a tighter points battle this season, but I can’t stand manufactured excitement. One of the biggest appeals all along in the series has been the exciting racing and drivers really shining when they have a fantastic year. If you take that away, things will change. The field will end up points racing and you’ll hand over a championship based on a team’s performance over less than a third of the season.

The last two years have been the exception, not the rule, and I’m convinced that we’ll be right back to a tight points battle by this time next season. So, NASCAR, please leave our points system alone.

Contact Beth Lunkenheimer

NASCAR NEWS, RIGHT TO YOUR INBOXAND IT’S FREE.
The Frontstretch Newsletter, back in 2014 gives you more of the daily news, commentary, and racing features from your favorite writers you know and love. Don’t waste another minute – click here to sign up now. We’re here to make sure you stay informed … so make sure you jump on for the ride!

Today on the Frontstretch:
NASCAR Easter Eggs: A Few Off-Week Nuggets to Chew On
Five Points To Ponder: NASCAR’s Take-A-Breath Moment
Truckin’ Thursdays: Top Five All-Time Truck Series Drivers
Going By the Numbers: A Week Without Racing Can Bring Relief But Kill Momentum
FREE NEWSLETTER! CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP

 

©2000 - 2008 Beth Lunkenheimer and Frontstetch.com. Thanks for visiting the Frontstretch!

Jacob
11/12/2010 08:23 AM
permalink

Thank you, Beth. You had me worried in the begining that you would advocate for the chase format. Forcing a close battle is not as exciting as watching a season of excellence unfold naturally.

Rick
11/12/2010 03:09 PM
permalink

No chase needed in trucks,or anywhere else.

Sal
11/13/2010 07:33 AM
permalink

While the audience is much smaller for the Nationwide and truck series, I do believe that they are the only Nascar series that have consistantly shown an increase in viewers, while the Cup shrinks dramatically. Since both other series have had a ‘runaway’ winner, that tells me that the quality of the racing (and coverage) on the track means a lot more to fans than who wins the title.

Contact Beth Lunkenheimer