The Frontstretch: Who's Hot / Who's Not In Sprint Cup: Charlotte-Dover Edition by Brad Morgan -- Tuesday May 28, 2013

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The Coca-Cola 600 is proof that a driver who paces themselves and makes the appropriate adjustments can be better equipped to win in the Sprint Cup Series than a driver who goes 100 percent, torturing their equipment for the duration of an event.

NASCAR’s version of the endurance race was no different this time around, as many of the dominant cars faded after the sunset. Several were too heavily damaged in an onslaught of multi-car accidents to continue at full strength, while others suffered after an encounter with failed television equipment turned debris.

This edition of Who’s Hot and Who’s Not beckons a change in momentum for many Chase hopefuls. With race 12 of 36 now history, some drivers look to continue what has been a dream run entering into the summer months, but many others look to reverse what has been a tumultuous stretch.


While still Happy, Kevin “The Closer” Harvick is also HOT!

HOT

An already prolific closer, Kevin Harvick showed his ability as a survivalist by winning the Coca-Cola 600 while other top drivers fell victim to the tune of 11 cautions, including two extensive red flags.

The Budweiser Folds of Honor Chevrolet emerged from the carnage unscathed, first leading around the 500-mile mark before solidifying position during a flawless final stop. From there he outran Kasey Kahne to the checkered flag, claiming his second victory of the season and second career win in NASCAR’s longest race.

A continued stretch of excellent fortune has the No. 29 team surging of late. With two wins in the last four events, the Richard Childress driver sits seventh in the standings, firmly inside the ever-important top-10. Happy Harvick will be elated to know that drivers with multiple victories have never missed the Chase in a wildcard scenario since the rule’s inception prior to the 2011 season.

From here Harvick will shift attention to Dover International Speedway, where he has averaged a 9.5-place finish over the past three years with one top-5 and four top-10s.

Martin Truex Jr. was also among the drivers who managed a solid finish at Charlotte Motor Speedway. And what a surprise, after being left for dead in the Hot or Not sense, Truex has rallied from the brink of permanent COLDness with a steady ninth-place run serving as his latest step back into Chase conversations.

Since a horrific 40th-place effort at Martinsville, Truex has climbed from 25th to ninth in the standings, collecting several valuable finishes along the way. Outlasting the melees at Talladega was as impressive as the second-place finish he recorded in April’s visit to Fort Worth. Over that stretch the No. 56 Toyota has completed every lap, a sacrament to the team’s early-season struggles.

Now Truex returns to the site of his only career victory, “The Monster Mile”, where he has been one of the hottest drivers in Sprint Cup of late, with an astounding 6.5-place average finish in two starts last season.

WARM

After starting sixth, Kasey Kahne paced the field for a race-high 161 circuits before finishing runner-up to Harvick. His night was uneventful compared to many of the drivers who began around him, safely dodging the fallen FOX camera cables and a number of wrecks that left the No. 5 Chevrolet in contention for the duration.

Despite coming up just short, positives can be taken from Kahne’s third second-place finish of the season. He showed the ability to be competitive on old tires during the last green flag run, staying ahead of a hard charging Kurt Busch even after Harvick snuck past. More shocking was his ability to pilot the Hendrick machine competitively for that long; after being diagnosed with the flu earlier in the week, the driver’s status had been cloudy leading up to race day.

Denny Hamlin was a lock for Sunday night’s festivities as he continues to recover from a fractured vertebra in the lower spine suffered at Fontana. He showed no signs of weakness in an impressive fourth-place run that springboards him into 24th in driver points and closer toward becoming wildcard eligible.

The No. 11 team will aim to better its string of two consecutive finishes outside the top-15 when Hamlin arrives at Dover. A return to ’10 form, when he recorded finishes of fourth and ninth, would help to get Miles the Monster off his back.

Marcos Ambrose and crew put on one of the season’s great shows of resiliency to date by overcoming potential disaster after the No. 9 Ford was damaged by the collapsed overhead support cable. The Fusion suffered undercarriage and rear brake line problems, but the Richard Petty Motorsports team was allowed 15 minutes to make needed repairs. From there Ambrose drove to his first top-10 finish since Martinsville.

COOL

The other RPM Ford wouldn’t have a happy ending, however, despite running inside the top-20 at times. Aric Almirola was involved in an incident that shredded the No. 43 Fusion and claimed Jeff Gordon and Mark Martin, among others.

The U.S. Air Force machine’s condition thereafter wasn’t the only thing going against Almirola, he also dropped to 12th in the standings as a result. This isn’t a good sign for a driver who isn’t known for his ability to win races at NASCAR’s highest level. Almirola has been relying on consistency to place among familiar Chasers this season, but that steadiness has eluded him for two straight races.

Almirola must turn things around in a hurry to prevent the loss of more valuable ground in the standings, and what better place to do it than Dover. The 1-mile concrete oval is home to his best average finish (12.5) of any Sprint Cup circuit.

Mark Martin fared no better in the multi-car accident that claimed Almirola, but his race was going the wrong way even before the lap-325 crash ended his night. The Michael Waltrip Racing Toyota was among those cars which were damaged by the tri-oval cable that snapped, but unlike Ambrose, Martin couldn’t regain pre-red flag form and quickly went down a lap after action resumed.

He inevitably settled for a DNF and accompanying 34th-place finish, continuing a trend of subpar finishes which began a month ago at Richmond International Raceway. This doesn’t bode well for a part-time driver whose future at MWR remains uncertain. Especially since it was reported that owner Michael Waltrip is pursuing a full-time deal with fellow part-timer Brian Vickers for 2014 earlier this month.

COLD

Things continued to go south for defending champion Brad Keselowski in Charlotte. After a broken transmission forced Keselowski to an early exit from the Sprint All-Star Race, his night ended prematurely once again after a lap 317 tangle with rookie Danica Patrick.

Over the past month Keselowski has gone from contending from the points lead with current leader Jimmie Johnson to struggling to remain inside the top-10. His current 10th-place standing is the lowest for the Penske driver since Loudon in July of 2012.

While it’s still too early to panic in the Blue Deuce camp, it is alarming to see the team struggle to this degree after being nearly unstoppable since the Chase last season. Another top-tier team with similar ups and downs over the same span is that of Kyle Busch.

The No. 18 Toyota seemed cursed during the Coca-Cola 600. After dominating early – leading 65 laps before the halfway mark – Busch’s Camry was heavily damaged by the TV cables. His crew heavily taped the right side of the vehicle in response to photos that Busch snapped during the red flag. While the repairs seemed to hold up, his night would eventually end because of a blown engine on lap 257.

When he travels to Dover a top-10 finish isn’t out of the question, but he’ll need to be wary of the engine bug that’s now cost him in two events, after suffering the same fate in the FedEx 400 last season.

Contact Brad Morgan

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Hal
05/28/2013 08:01 AM
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Danica is HOT.

You forgot to add that.

Too bad the little green booger gets picked on by everybody.

Annie
05/28/2013 02:26 PM
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Another short list and far out picks. Why bother?

jerseygirl
05/28/2013 03:58 PM
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Hal, I assume you are talking about Danica’s looks – since it can’t be her driving prowess. she finished multiple laps down in the 600 and didn’t do much better at the All-Star & Darlington. But so long as go daddy is paying the bills, the little green booger will be out there each week.