The Frontstretch: Voices From the Cheapseats: It’s On the Internet So It Must Be True by Jeff Meyer -- Friday September 7, 2012

Go to site navigation Go to article

Don’t you just LOVE press releases? Here is my favorite from this week but be forewarned, the follow clinch scenarios were found on the BSNews editor’s floor so don’t be surprised if some of the information therein is erroneous. (That means “wrong” in case you were wondering)…

Richmond Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Clinch Scenarios (corrected);

Below are the 2012 Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup clinch scenarios for Saturday night’s Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond International Raceway, the final race before the Chase field is set. Nine drivers have clinched top-10 spots in the Chase: Greg Biffle, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Matt Kenseth, Jimmie Johnson, Martin Truex Jr., Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, Clint Bowyer and Kevin Harvick. Tony Stewart, currently 10th, has clinched at least a Wild Card spot.

Tony Stewart, on the strength of three wins, a bad haircut and a bottle of gin, has already clinched at least a Wild Card Chase spot. Regardless of where any other driver finishes, Tony is never at fault and he will clinch a top-10 position with a finish of 14th or better, 15th and at least one lap led or 16th and the most laps led. He also plans to clinch Matt Kenseth firmly about the neck if he gets in his way again. Only three drivers can supplant Stewart in the top 10: Kasey Kahne, Kyle Busch and Jeff Gordon.

“Alright Tony, so the deal is two of my best cougars for a bottle of your good gin: take it or leave it.”

Kasey Kahne is the only driver outside the top 10 with two wins and a stable full of cougars. He has yet to clinch a Chase spot. Kahne currently sits in the No. 1 Wild Card position. A win would clinch a Chase berth, although scoring with a cougar will probably not result in a birth. If Stewart stays in the top 10, Kahne clinches a Chase spot. If Stewart falls out of the top 10, Kahne will clinch a spot if a one-win driver outside the top 10 does not win. If Kyle Busch supplants Stewart in the top 10, and Jeff Gordon wins, Kahne clinches a spot by finishing 13th or better, 14th with at least one lap led or 15th with the most laps led.

There are six drivers outside the top 10 with one win: Kyle Busch, Jeff Gordon, Marcos Ambrose, Ryan Newman and Joey Logano. If one of those one-win drivers wins at Richmond AND Stewart remains in the top 10 AND all this makes as much sense as a Brian France speech (or Kasey Kahne supplants Stewart in the top 10), that one-win driver would have two wins and clinch a Chase spot. Here’s your sign!

The following scenarios are if a one-win driver DOES NOT win at Richmond:

Kyle Busch: If Stewart remains in the top 10 or if Kahne supplants Stewart in the top 10, Busch will clinch a Chase spot by losing 12 or fewer points to Jeff Gordon AND by losing 40 or fewer points to Marcos Ambrose AND by losing his temper by lap 67. A win would guarantee Busch a Chase berth and he’d be intolerable to live with.

Jeff Gordon: If Stewart remains in the top 10 or if Kahne supplants Stewart in the top 10 by offering him a free hookup with one of his cougars, Gordon will clinch by finishing 13 points ahead of Busch at Richmond AND by losing 28 or fewer points to Ambrose AND by losing 37 or fewer points to Ryan Newman but will still have to go home to his model wife. If Busch supplants Stewart in the top 10, Gordon would clinch a Chase berth with a win AND finishing 18 points ahead of Kahne at Richmond. Kahne is considering adding Gordon’s wife to his stable.

Marcos Ambrose: If Stewart remains in the top 10 or if Kahne supplants Stewart in the top 10, Ambrose will clinch by finishing 41 points ahead of Busch AND 29 points ahead of Gordon as long as he is not down under Danica Patrick..

Ryan Newman: Newman can only clinch a Chase berth with a win. If either Busch or Gordon supplant Stewart in the top 10, Newman will be eliminated and his newly signed contract extension with SHR will be null and void.

Joey Logano: Logano can only clinch a Chase berth with a win. If either Busch or Gordon supplant Stewart in the top 10, Logano will be eliminated immediately from JGR and begin driving the Penske No. 22 post-haste. (the likes of which he should’ve drove the No. 20, much better and he wouldn’t be in this mess)

Two winless drivers outside the top 10 can clinch:

Carl Edwards and Paul Menard.

Carl Edwards: Edwards needs to win (47-point win) AND Busch has to finish 24th or worse (with no laps led) at Richmond AND Gordon has to finish 12th or worse at Richmond AND eat four Subway sandwiches by halfway through the race. If Busch or Gordon supplant Tony Stewart in the top 10, Edwards will be eliminated and the four subs will be immediately purged on pit road.

Paul Menard: Menard needs to win (47-point win) AND Kyle Busch has to finish 34th or worse (with no laps led) AND Gordon has to finish 22nd or worse (with no laps led) at Richmond. If Busch or Gordon supplant Tony Stewart in the top 10, Menard will be eliminated but daddy will continue to fund him.

All other drivers have been mathematically and “laboratorially” eliminated from Chase contention. Studies have shown that being supplanted is relatively painless and does not cause cancer.

And you all thought I had too much time on my hands! How’d you like to have dinner with the schmuck who sits and works all these scenarios out?!

Stay off the wall (and don’t get supplanted…even if it is painless!)

Jeff Meyer

Contact Jeff Meyer

The Frontstretch Newsletter, back in 2014 gives you more of the daily news, commentary, and racing features from your favorite writers you know and love. Don’t waste another minute – click here to sign up now. We’re here to make sure you stay informed … so make sure you jump on for the ride!

Today on the Frontstretch:
Did You Notice? … A Return To Richmond, Post-Spingate And Quick Hits
NASCAR Mailbox: A ‘Normal’ Saturday And A Valuable Lesson
Beyond the Cockpit: Tony ‘The Sarge’ Schumacher
Open Wheel Wednesday: Controversial Moves, Long Beach Crowds, and Being a Fuddy Duddy
The Frontstretch Five: Pleasant Surprises of 2014 So Far
IndyCar Driver Profile: Takuma Sato
Beyond the Cockpit: Tommy Baldwin on Owning His Team, Hall of Fame and the Number Seven


©2000 - 2008 Jeff Meyer and Thanks for visiting the Frontstretch!

09/07/2012 07:40 AM

As I was skimming through your article, it suddenly dawned on me: I could care less who else makes the chase. Sad, as I’ve been following racing a Very long time. The chase has turned a season long contest into a 26 race tuning and jockeying for position scenario. It’s really not about racing. Racing is about winning, or trying to.

Old farmer
09/07/2012 10:47 AM

Re. Your title here: you’re on the Internet, so what you say must be true, too. I’ still laughing!

09/07/2012 12:43 PM

DON- I feel the same way. I don’t care who makes THE CHASE , because we don’t need THE CHASE.

09/07/2012 06:03 PM

Between wild cats and numbers I don’t know what the hell is going on but I am looking forward to the race at Richmond.

Jeff Meyer - FS Staff
09/07/2012 06:58 PM

LOL In the spirit of full disclosure, all the actual numbers are real and the scenarios are correct. Only the little ‘add on comments’ are an embellishment.

See what I mean about someone actually sitting down and figuring all this crap out!? Can you say “Nerd Central!” ?

I love racing, but sheesh! I got a REAL life too!


Contact Jeff Meyer

Recent articles from Jeff Meyer:

Voices From The Cheap Seats: The Tale Of Two Tires
BSNews! Bruton’s Plans Extend Beyond Bristol’s Track
Top Ten Reasons Fans Failed To Show Up At Bristol Sunday
BSNews! NASCAR CEO Given "Special" Award Amidst Lavish Fanfare
Fan Coun-ci-What? Just What Is It That NASCAR Wants To Study?

Want to know more about Jeff Meyer or view his complete article archives? Then hop on over to his archive and bio page.