The Frontstretch: Four Burning Questions: First Time Winners and Two Car Tango by Mike Lovecchio -- Friday April 15, 2011

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Four Burning Questions: First Time Winners and Two Car Tango

Mike Lovecchio · Friday April 15, 2011

 

Will the two-car draft be as prominent at Talladega as Daytona?

This year’s Daytona 500 may have been the coming out party for the two-car draft, but the evolution of restrictor plate racing began after Talladega was repaved in 2006. The Alabama superspeedway may not be as smooth as it was five years ago, or as smooth as Daytona in February, but with the perfect alignment of the front and rear bumpers, the two-car draft has been perfected and will be necessary to win on Sunday. Whether or not you like the new incarnation of plate racing, there’s no denying it’s here to stay unless NASCAR does more to affect engine cooling, something they’ve tried but seem to have backed off on lately.

Drivers are prepared for what should be a very similar race to the Daytona 500 and have already worked on which drivers they want to have two-way communication with. If you’re a fan of traditional plate racing and despise the two-car tango like many do, tune into today’s ARCA race and you’ll see a similar race to how plate racing has been over the past decade.

Is this the week Dale Earnhardt Jr. snaps his winless streak?

Dale Earnhardt Jr. may have won in the Nationwide Series last season, but his fans want another Cup win, and they just may get it this Sunday.

The most famous winless streak in NASCAR is now at 100 races. Yes it’s been a while since Junior Nation has had the privilege of watching Dale Earnhardt Jr. celebrate in victory lane, but during what’s been a return to relevance this season, the sting of the winless streak isn’t as bad as it once was. Still, every time the Sprint Cup Series heads to Talladega, fans wonder if this is the weekend.

It’s been 13 races since Earnhardt last finished first at Talladega, but the restrictor plate magic he had between 2001 and 2004 still fells like yesterday, and you still get the feeling that the breakthrough win is right around the corner. Given this seems to be a Chase-caliber season, I’m sure most Earnhardt fans would just like to see him finish the race unscathed and maintain what’s been a solid campaign with four top 10s in seven races and a current standing of sixth in points. But don’t be surprised if he gets hooked up in the right pairing and wins it this weekend. One thing is for sure, there won’t be a bigger party in Alabama.

Can Trevor Bayne make magic twice and win on Sunday?

It sure seems like Trevor Bayne used a season’s worth of luck in one weekend. Ever since his shocking Daytona 500 victory, it’s been a year of misfortune capped off with a trip to the hospital last week with an insect bite. It hasn’t been the dream season I’m sure he would have liked, but he has a chance to become the next king of superspeedways with a win again on Sunday…something that is very possible.

Maybe his Daytona 500 win was a fluke. But remember he was in that position because of his uncanny ability to push, and he should have the same ability again this weekend, with one more advantage. Bayne proved himself to a few drivers during the Gatorade Duel qualifying race and the Daytona 500 itself, but this weekend he goes to Talladega as one of the few drivers others will want pushing them. He shouldn’t have a problem finding drafting partners as there will be more than a few wanting a shove from the No. 21. If he can avoid the Big One this weekend, Bayne will be a player in the outcome of Sunday’s race.

Who could be the next first time winner to win at Talladega?

There a few drivers who could breakout this weekend and pull a Bayne-esque upset. If you’re talking superspeedways, you have to consider Regan Smith an underdog candidate. He has an unbelievable ability to avoid misfortune (at least until this season) and he’s been a contender already in a few plate races, including a near-win/loss to Tony Stewart in 2008. He looked strong at Daytona and should be again this weekend.

Another contender to get his first win this weekend is a guy having a breakout season. Paul Menard has defied his critics week-in and week-out and sits 11th in points after seven races. He has three top 10s this year, finished ninth at Daytona and has the same equipment as the current restrictor plate king Kevin Harvick. If there is one winless driver who wouldn’t be a surprise in a victory lane, it may just be Menard.

Contact Mike Lovecchio

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Scott
04/15/2011 09:14 AM
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So, I guess the media is going to continue saying each week “Is this when Jr. finally wins?”

Guess that they figure that they will eventually and hopefully be right one week.

Carl D.
04/15/2011 11:45 AM
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Mike…

If Menard wins Sunday, remember I picked it two days before you did in the comments of this week’s mirror driving column. I will expect full accolades from the all Frontstretch writers and readers. Of course, if he doesn’t win, it’s because you jinxed my pick.

Alex P
04/15/2011 02:08 PM
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@Carl D.- That’s hilarious, and I agree, the will have jinxed your pick.

As for the article, JR nation has to relish in the fact that the 88 is actually competitive. Given his ability and threat factor at a restrictor plate, hopefully he is able to string up a solid finish.

As far as a real underdog- How about JPM and or Jeff Burton?? Burton’s luck this year quantifies him as a definitive underdog (playing the odds).

Overra88ted
04/15/2011 08:17 PM
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Jr.win at Talledaga? Yea right!Staring Victory in the face at Martinsville Dale Jr. didn’t want to win, and finished 2nd with his tail between his legs. Na$crap’s most Popular Loser hasn’t won a points paying restrictor plate race in almost 7 (Seven) years. Time has proven that Dale Jr. and Mikey Waltrip (no plate track wins in almost 8 years), both drivers with Average at Best Talent, can not seem to get it done anymore in plate races, without the DEI Aero/HP advantage they had 2001-2003. A hard fact that delusional Jr. Nation Hypocrites can’t seem to swallow.

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