The Frontstretch: Who's Hot / Who's Not In Sprint Cup: Dover Edition by Thomas Bowles -- Tuesday May 18, 2010

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Who's Hot / Who's Not In Sprint Cup: Dover Edition

Thomas Bowles · Tuesday May 18, 2010

 

Typically, the Monster Mile is notorious for chewing up seasons and spitting them out into the crushing cement of its outside wall. But on a day marked by empty seats and single-file competition, the giant of one-mile ovals chose to go all 21st century on us instead, using the laser gun accuracy of pit road timing loops to destroy its closest competition. The biggest victim was its two-time defending winner, as Jimmie Johnson proved in defeat that sometimes, even a robot can malfunction in carrying a little too much speed out of the pits.

The day’s half-human, half-hate victor, Kyle Busch used the win to throw another punch into Johnson’s seemingly infallible record. But as the Joe Gibbs Racing teams heat up, is the heart of Hendrick Motorsports really cooling off? We’ll take a brief look, then remind you there are other teams competing on the grid each weekend in the latest edition of Who’s Hot / Who’s Not.

HOT

Jimmie JohnsonLast week in this space, we made the argument over why Busch and Hamlin are tearing up the Sprint Cup circuit. They did nothing to change that over the weekend, with Busch winning two of the three races he entered while Hamlin collected his first top-10 finish in Delaware since the dawn of time (or three years ago, whichever comes first). There’s no question they’re putting the most pressure on the No. 48 outfit right now.

But there’s also no question the Johnson camp isn’t far behind. Much has been made of the recent slide that’s seen him pile up two DNFs and just one top-10 finish the last four weeks. At the same time, he dominated the race on Sunday, leading 225 laps and only losing based on a pit road speeding call that dropped him to 16th. Sure, that cost this team points … but do points really matter? It’s wins the No. 48 is going after, considering they’re 234 points ahead of 13th-place pseudo-teammate Ryan Newman for a spot in the Chase. Experience has taught this team winning the regular season championship doesn’t matter; it’s the 10-point bonuses you bring to the playoffs that really count.

So when we look at it from that perspective, Johnson’s still in the catbird’s seat. His 589 laps led rank him second in the series to Jeff Gordon, and he’s still tied with Hamlin for the most wins with three. Only Kevin Harvick has more top-10 finishes, and now we’re heading to a track in Charlotte where Johnson won in the Fall, his sixth victory in seventeen starts at a place that was once labeled “his house.” Call me crazy, but I think he might be a favorite to win there.

Bottom line in the Gibbs-Hendrick argument? Yeah, JGR has caught up. But I have a hard time believing the reigning four-time champs are suddenly off the pace. They’re well on pace to make their goal of winning several races while making the Chase with ease. Besides, proving themselves isn’t necessary. After all, didn’t the boredom-inducing four straight championships already do that for them?

Have you noticed? That No. 31 has been hanging out with the frontrunners this year.

Jeff Burton – Also last week, we mentioned how everyone’s swept the performance of points leader Kevin Harvick under the rug. Well, how about his teammate? Since pulling off a “conservative” fourth-place finish at Richmond, Burton’s scored three straight top-10 finishes while jumping from 12th to eighth in the season standings. But what’s even more encouraging is the rate at which his car is leading laps. He’s led at least one in eight of the last nine races, the first time that’s happened in a decade. That’s right, it was so long ago not only was the late, great Dale Earnhardt, Sr. alive, he battled Burton throughout the season for second in the standings. Looking back, that was his best year in the sport, the one people thought would springboard to a number of wins and championships with Roush Fenway Racing. While that never happened, the way the No. 31 is performing now is giving him a sudden opportunity to make up for lost time.

Honorable Mention

Kevin Harvick – Still holds a 69-point lead in the standings after three top-10s at arguably his two worst tracks: Darlington and Dover. Hopefully, that’s enough of a mention to keep DeLana from punching me in the face.

Joe Gibbs Racing – See above. It actually got to the point where Rick Hendrick said Gibbs had “lapped him” this week after five wins in seven races. Really? I didn’t know there was a car owner series in NASCAR. Are they racing their Rolls Royces on top of a track made with their own money? Who wouldn’t want to see Rick Hendrick spin out Jack Roush, then see Roush to throw his hat at Hendrick in disgust? Someone should think about making this happen.

WARM

Ryan Newman – So much has been made of Tony Stewart’s struggles, you forget Newman’s quietly working his way up the standings for a second straight year. A quiet but consistent 13th at Dover is his sixth top 15 in the last seven races, leaving him on the precipice of the top 12 in 13th. Now, it’s on to Charlotte, where he has seven career poles and an average finish of 6.5 in a Stewart-Haas car. We all know Tony loves Ryan after his Phoenix victory; now, it’s time to see how much Newman returns the bromance with his teammate struggling. And again, making mention to the Hendrick “struggles” above, they still have all six of their chassis and engine cars in the top 16 in the Cup standings (with Dale Jr. bringing up the rear).

Martin Truex, Jr. – There was no better way for Truex to move into a Chase spot than by doing it at his home track. Site of his lone Cup Series win in 2007, a 12th-place finish ironically boosted the New Jersey native into the 12th and final spot in the Chase. Yet considering the way NAPA stuck with Michael Waltrip and his marketing gold mine of a personality through thick and thin, you wonder how much they’re truly enjoying a borderline Chaser whose lone addition to their off-track profile is some really bad karaoke. I will say this much, though; if the execs in the boardroom aren’t convinced yet, just wait until they actually make the Chase for the first time and see that their car actually makes it on the radar screen after the second week in September.

Honorable Mention

Matt Kenseth – Sunday might have been a turning point after his post-Jeff Gordon knocking him out of a win at Martinsville career. In true Jeff Gordon fashion, it took 2 months to recover.

Carl Edwards – Four straight top-15 finishes, including an eighth at Dover. But he always runs well there, so it’s hard to gauge how much better this team really is.

COOL

A.J. Allmendinger – Has had one of the faster cars on the grid the last few weeks and never got a chance to show it. It started with the Talladega Russian roulette wheel, where he was in the top 5 with ten laps to go only to fall in the wrong line during a series of green-white-checkered finishes. Then, that 19th-place run was followed soon after by a Darlington race where he had another top-10 car at worst. It’s just the brakes had other ideas, taking him out along with Jimmie Johnson in an awkward 37th-place finish that left 100 points on the table. Add in Dover this weekend, where he ran as high as second until a botched pit stop and a speeding penalty left him languishing in 14th, and you’ve got to think one of the sport’s most emotional drivers is getting a little frustrated behind the scenes. I guess now’s not the right time to tell him about Richard Petty Motorsports’ mounting pile of debt?

Mark Martin – We’ve toyed with the idea for weeks there’s something wrong at the No. 5 car. And after running a legit 15th at Dover – the equivalent of a last-place finish for a guy who hypes this racetrack to the point you think he’s part-owner – you know something just isn’t clicking. The risk you always take when you take a healthy team and you try and make a sick one better is that you wind up making both of them sick. And considering the way Dale Earnhardt, Jr. and Martin have performed as of late, you have to wonder if the awkward chemistry of the No. 88 is bringing their counterparts in the same shop down with them.

Honorable Mention

Kasey Kahne – See Kasey run. See Kasey run bad. See team make resumes in their spare time while losing interest as he prepares for a life at Hendrick Motorsports.

David Ragan – With so many sponsors bailing, he’s got to be happy UPS’ contract lasts through 2011 with the way things have been going. You just wonder if Roush is going to follow through on cutting his short.

COLD

Sam Hornish, Jr. – Penske keeps standing behind his man as someone who’s going to drive in Cup far into the future. But this team has a history of making news when it wants, denying possible changes until the very last minute despite several rumors to the contrary. And murmurs are building that after another year filled with crashes, we’re going to see this open-wheel star return to the series in which he really belongs. No matter how many IndyCar championships he’s won, it’s hard to sell a potential sponsor on a man who has just one top-15 in 12 starts this season … unless you’re Michael Waltrip.

Marcos Ambrose – Remember when we thought the Tasmanian Devil would add a little spice to the Chase? Instead, he’s busy chasing virtually every other competitor in the 43-car field. Sunday’s multiple wrecks at the Monster Mile led to his fourth DNF in a dozen 2010 races. That equals the same total he had in his first 47 Cup starts, a shocking result to an organization that entered the season with more funding and seemingly more momentum than their two pseudo-teammates. Instead, it’s a question of when Ambrose will stop being a train wreck and actually turn that train back in the right direction. Infineon? Watkins Glen? Either one is way too late.

Honorable Mention

Bobby Labonte – Seeing a former NASCAR champion park his car was one of the saddest things I’ve ever seen in this sport. At some point, you’d think pride and not $$ will force Labonte’s hand and he’ll take a trip to the rocking chair instead.

Dale Earnhardt, Jr. – I’ll get into specifics about his tenure with Lance McGrew later this week. But when you’re bringing the car down pit road and nothing’s actually wrong, well, it’s kind of hard to blame the crew completely, isn’t it?

Contact Tom Bowles

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DansMom
05/18/2010 10:26 AM
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Bobby Labonte – like his brother will race non-competatively for years before he hangs it up.

Although remember Terry’s Road-Course ALMOST in the TRG car? That woulda been something!

midasmicah
05/18/2010 01:52 PM
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Hate him or love him, this series absolutely needs to have a driver like Kyle Busch to make it watchable. Someone has to be willing to wear the black hat in this series and I hope to God that Kyle doesn’t go too “vanilla” on us. Thank God Dale Sr. never showed too much “maturity” even as he got older. I saw something at Dover that has become too much the norm thids year. A bori ng race. When both Bristol and Dover become boring, something is very wrong. A single file parade at Dover. Sad. Even with my driver finishing second it was hard to watch. I’m just glad they didn’t throw a late caution just to try to make it exiting and ending up with a bunch of wrecked cars. That’s the quandry for nas$car. They’ve been trying to spice up a series with artificial excitement when everybody know what the problem is. You have a car that’s still a boxcar in disguise. You have a “championship playoff” that does nothing but encourage drivers to take no chances in their quest to make the “chase”. Pardon me for stating the obvious, but nas$car still doesn’t seem to get it. I’ve been watching nas$car for 30+ years and it’s been painfull to watch it slowly die. It can still be saved, but the powers that be must be willing to admit they have made a mistake with this chase thing. Also get rid of the cow catcher they call the splitter. All it does is cut tires when two cars get close to each other. Once again, tha nks for listening. I’m not trying to be negative. I just hate having to watch the series I love going to the dogs.

gopapa
05/18/2010 04:34 PM
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Seems to me that Kyle Busch has been gaining some fans. The boos have been decreasing and the cheers increasing. If he keeps winning and being all PC, who are we going to hate?

I hammered Denny Hamlin a lot last year for using his bumper too much but he has earned a ton of respect from me this year for what he has done with a bad knee. After the N/W race incidents in which he used his front bumper, he manned up and took responsibility for his miscalculations. It’s hard not to respect a driver like that. Unless you’re Clint Bowyer, of course. But he’ll get over it soon enough.

Sam Hornish needs to run a few complete races without spinning out.

I’m not saying anything about the 5 and 88 team member trading that Rick Hendrick pulled in the off season that might be pulling the 5 team down. Or that the 88 is only marginally better because of those changes.
Conspiracy theories are running rampant about Kasey Kahne landing in the 5 in 2011. If you see Mark Martin in 15th or 20th place in the points around the start of the chase, look for Kahne in the 5 next year.

 

Contact Tom Bowles

Recent articles from Tom Bowles:

Did You Notice? ... Breaking Down A Sprint Cup Season Eight Races In
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If you want to know more about Tom Bowles or to view all of his articles here at the Frontstretch, check out his archive and bio page.

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