The Frontstretch: 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1... Ford? Seven Races, Seven Reasons To Believe J.J. Has A Rival by Thomas Bowles -- Monday April 11, 2011

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7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1... Ford? Seven Races, Seven Reasons To Believe J.J. Has A Rival

Bowles-Eye View · Thomas Bowles · Monday April 11, 2011

 

Sometimes, the story of a weekend is all in the numbers.

Matt Kenseth did a great job shooting down his competition at Texas. But can he help carry Ford’s momentum forward to a full-season championship for himself – or even the Blue Oval’s first manufacturer title since 2002?

7. That’s how many years it’s been since a Ford tasted the champagne of a Cup Series championship. It was the first and only won by the Blue Ovals under the Chase system, Kurt Busch fending off pre-dynasty Jimmie Johnson to win the inaugural playoff format by a mere eight points. Completing a second straight title for the Roush organization, backing up Matt Kenseth’s consistency grab in 2003, it looked like their five-car Goliath, not Hendrick’s four-car Goliath-to-be, was poised to win plenty more. While Chevy’s top dog dealt with the aftermath of a devastating tragedy – losing ten people in a Martinsville plane crash, including the boss’ son Ricky and head engine whiz Randy Dorton – their Ford counterparts had produced two of the sport’s “young guns,” already peaking long before entering their prime.

“This is a new look and a new face for NASCAR,” Busch said. “The possibilities are endless and to be a champion, the second in a row for Jack Roush… hopefully I can keep this going another 10 years.”

In just one more, he was gone, and Roush hasn’t sniffed the hardware since. Yet here we are, seven races into 2011 – see how the number theme works? – while sitting on top of the points with Carl Edwards. Yes, this year may finally be their time, but who would have ever thought it’d take this long?

6. That’s the record Jimmie Johnson threatens to reset, a championship streak putting him on the precipice of unprecedented territory in nearly any type of professional sport. Sitting third in the standings, the No. 48 sits winless, but not without self-assurance, posting 245 laps led and five top-11 finishes since February to remind us all that spring serves as a test session for when their points really start to count.

Saturday night didn’t fully anoint Kenseth or Ford as Johnson’s biggest adversary. But there are certainly historical signs to point in that direction. In two of the last three years, the man who won this race – Carl Edwards in ’08, Denny Hamlin last year – finished the season the championship runner-up. And considering the fact intermediate tracks like this one – well, including this one as the Cup Series returns to Texas in November – make up five of the ten races on the postseason schedule, Saturday night was like target practice where all the top teams could flex their muscle.

Jimmie Johnson’s team tried every adjustment at Texas to try and improve the handling on the No. 48. But after an eighth-place finish behind many rivals, the post-race message was clear: this team must be better here in November if they expect a shot at title number six.

Johnson’s setup, while designed to transition well into nighttime, never had enough to crack the back edge of the top 10. Ford’s? It put the entire Roush Fenway fleet inside the top 8, snapped a 76-race losing streak for Kenseth and left Blue Ovals in front for 191 of 334 laps. We’ll have to get to Charlotte, a similar style track which also gets placed directly in the Chase to make firmer, more accurate judgments; but for now, Texas showcased how a full-scale manufacturer is making their case to become J.J.’s biggest rival.

5. The number of wins in Ford’s super slump, from February 2009 to November 2010. It was an embarrassing total, their worst drought in over 25 years made ten times worse by how it began: Matt Kenseth’s victory in the ’09 Daytona 500. From bad simulations (engineering gone awry that took until the spring of 2010 to fix at Roush) from bad finances (ever hear the name George Gillett?) to simple bad luck, the Blue Ovals ended every week badly beaten by either the Hendrick onslaught or a Joe Gibbs Racing trio that seemed younger, faster, more innovative.

Yet here we are, nine races later and Ford has won the last five, including the sport’s biggest race with perhaps its most promising future star: Trevor Bayne. Off the track, the automaker has recovered from the economic crash better than its racing counterparts – boasting a $6.6 billion profit in 2010 – and has the money to put behind its mechanical brilliance going forward.

“We tuned up our engineering program with Ford’s help over the winter and we got a new nose,” Jack Roush explained, trying to pin down the manufacturer’s handling brilliance as of late. “Everybody got a new nose this year, but our new nose was better than our old nose, I think. And we’ve had our FR9 engine really up to speed.”

It’s a quote verified by their biggest rivals, the horsepower now rivaling even those at Hendrick or Earnhardt Childress Racing. Add in reliability – zero engine failures for the RFR contingent – and for a sport consumed by cycles, this one’s quickly heading in an upward direction.

Jimmy Fennig has brought smiles and success to countless drivers throughout his long career in the Cup garage, and Matt Kenseth is the latest of those benefactors.

4. The number of crew chiefs Kenseth has had since Robbie Reiser left the pit box four years ago – at the conclusion of the 2007 season. From Chip Bolin, to Drew Blickensderfer, to Todd Parrott, no one seemed to offer the chemistry those two had together, a divorce without a competent remarriage until Jack Roush chose to assign Ol’ Reliable over to the No. 17 from R&D – ’04 championship crew chief (remember how this article started?) Jimmy Fennig.

“Jimmy is a consummate stock car racer,” Roush explained. “He can run your R&D team. He can take your rookie driver. Heck, he even won a championship with Kurt Busch. He can do anything (laughing). Jimmy has done it all.”

“Jimmy’s only worked for three people. He worked for Mark Martin early on. He worked for Bobby Allison, and he worked for Roush Fenway. And he’s — Jimmy is one of the guys I look to give me advice behind and around and above the engineers on what’s right and what’s wrong about our deal. Nobody did a better job running our R & D program than Jimmy. And when we went through a number of crew chiefs trying to find a combination that would be best for Matt through kind of the dark days when it seemed like we couldn’t get it right, Jimmy stepped back up and jumped in front, and he’s done a better job than I think anybody could today with Matt.”

3. The number of runner-up Chase finishes for Ford since that last title. Kenseth has one (’06), Edwards has one (’08), and the third goes to Greg Biffle (’05) who, despite a slow start may very well be part of the Chase picture at the end the way these cars have been running. Biffle and Kenseth are championship tested; Edwards has learned from a Talladega mistake turned Kevin Harvick tussle that cost him his shot. Should any of them be the main adversary entering Johnson’s ten-race sprint, mind games won’t work the way they did against Hamlin down the stretch last season.

2. A.J. Allmendinger and Marcos Ambrose, part of a revamped, slimmed-down Richard Petty Motorsports program that’s given Jack Roush what he’s desired for the better part of three years: the Blue Oval answer to Stewart-Haas Racing. Far removed from the Gillett financial disaster of 2010, RPM has new owners with fresh cash and a focused attitude to help that program return to the top. Their two-car driver lineup has a common denominator of something to prove; both coming off frustrating seasons, the cocky Californian and that Tasmanian Devil are higher in points than any of the RPM cars finished in 2010.

And with their house in order, RPM serves as the type of “B” team that can assist, not weigh down an equipment and chassis-sharing program the same way SHR has, at times, provided the extra information boost with Hendrick Motorsports. The number of Fords may have been slimmed down this season, but there’s hardly a weak link in the bunch unless you count the cash-strapped, barely surviving Front Row Motorsports clan.

1. The singular goal of all the Ford programs: a championship that’ll stop the Johnson reign of dominance and wake up a NASCAR nation numbed to a virtual cakewalk more often than not at Homestead each November. Can they do it? No one knows.

But as the world wakes up on Monday one-quarter of the way through stock car’s regular season, they’ve positioned themselves better than anyone else to achieve it. Now, to wait for their rival, a man with a certain No. 48 on the side of his car to step up to the plate…

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Monday on the Frontstretch:
Matt McLaughlin’s Thinkin’ Out Loud: Texas (Spring) Race Recap
Penske Problem: Kurt Busch’s Drive For De Facto Single-Car Team Taking Its Toll
Bubble Breakdown: Mears’ Texas-Sized Recovery Ahead Of Kvapil’s Killer DNQ
Mouthing Off At Texas: NASCAR’s Good, Bad, And Ugly From The Lone Star State
Nationwide Series Breakdown: O’Reilly 300
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Carl D.
04/11/2011 10:21 AM
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The FR9 engine could possibly be the catalyst for a Ford championship. But is it powerful enough to save David Ragan’s job in the #6 car?

Josh
04/11/2011 10:58 AM
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“In just one more (year), he was gone, and Roush hasn’t sniffed the hardware since.”

What about Edwards and Biffle tying for second in 2005, just 30 points back from Stewart?
What about Kenseth finishing runner-up to Johnson in 2006? What about Carl Edwards leading the points after Dover in Fall of 2007? And lest we forget Carl’s 9-win 2nd place finish in ’08. Wouldn’t those instances count as ‘sniffing’ the hardware?

But yes, I get the point of the article and I agree…….this year is definitly gonna be a resurgent year for the Fords.

Joe W.
04/12/2011 09:00 AM
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Well the last time I commented it was removed, so I’ll try to be nice. It is great to see Roush, RPM and Wood Brothers do well. Now It would be great to see some improvement from Front Row and TRG. I think Frank Stoddard and Fas Lane will be O.K. As a Ford racing fan this is what I have been waiting for. To see six Fords in the top 10 for a good portion of the race and to have five finish there was great. Now Susan if you don’t like Ford why do your own their cars? Oh because they build good cars!! Jack Roush is doing just fine without your support!! Oh and Dale Jr. is having a better year too and also does not need your support. It would be great to see one of the Fords win it all this year. We can hope the trend continues! Love the FR9. Now I just hope Nascar doesn’t just give that technology to Chevy or toyota. Like they usually do.

Joe W.
04/12/2011 11:37 AM
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I am loyal to them because they have been good cars for me. It is that simple. And when I buy I have lots of critera. Looks are part of the package too. I spend way to much of my hard earned money to just buy what someone tells me is best. I have driven the others and am underwhelmed. Jack is no bigger “jerk” than Rick Hendrick. You don’t like him, That is your right, but stop the trashing all the time. Why can’t you just praise whoever it is that you like. Try being positive for a change. You might just like it! And the power under the hood of all the cars is by brand. The Ford, Chevy and Dodge ARE different. The problem I have with Toyota is they were given their engine by Nascar. Ford engineers along with those at Roush/Yates engines designed the FR9. It is a Ford engine. Not some mixed bag given by Nascar. By the way I thought you hated Mark so now you like him when it fits your purpose. And one more thing, I would NOT want them to drive “stock” cars now. They are too fast and it would be too dangerous. I think purpose built race cars is the only way. I am not a ghoul who wants to see people die. Whether I like them or not. Oh well, I’m done with this for now.

Joe W.
04/12/2011 03:17 PM
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Well Susan I have not been negative about Nascar for the most part, but I think it is O.K. for people to offer their opinions on what they like or don’t like. One thing you are wrong on is the power of the toys. They were given the engine because the company had never built anything like it. That does matter to me. If it doesn’t to you so be it. But it is the main thing that gives the cars an identity. Hopefully they will soon look more like the stock counterparts. They are working on that. I enjoy the races too or as you said I wouldn’t watch. But you are wrong on the toys power. Remember “washer gate” in the Nationwide Series? Does that ring a bell? The toys were trying to cheat to not show all the horsepower they had. That is documented. So that aurgument makes no sense. Oh well to each his own. I just want the cars I like to have a level playing field. I am enjoying this season. Good day.

Joe W.
04/13/2011 08:16 AM
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Susan I loved the Gran Torino as a kid. My dad had one. It looked like the car Starsky and Hutch drove. I didn’t mention that because I was talking Nascar here. But believe me I noticed the Gran Torino. I learned to drive on a 76 Mercury Cougar with a 351. So those cars will always be my favorites. But yes I do think the cars of today have an identity. And some of us do care. Drive a few and you will see. Before I bought my Fusion I drove several other makes including Toyota and I bought the best car and the best value. Later

Joe W.
04/13/2011 03:05 PM
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Agreed, truce!!

 

Contact Tom Bowles

Recent articles from Tom Bowles:

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