Did You Notice? … This year’s NASCAR Cup Series race at the Daytona International Speedway road course ran 12 of its 70 laps under caution? It adds up to 17% of Sunday’s race (Feb. 21), with only one green-flag run lasting more than 10 laps. The eight cautions were more than any road race outside of Charlotte Motor Speedway’s ROVAL since NASCAR’s stage system was established in 2017.
Weirdly enough, Sunday’s percentage was less than the season-opening Daytona 500 (20%). So why did every time the caution come out at this Daytona feel like an eternity?
The good news is some quality competition left those yellows a mere footnote in what was an outstanding road course race. But each time officials made that call, it guaranteed a five-minute slowdown at a 3.61-mile racetrack where it takes nearly two minutes to complete a lap at speed.
NASCAR tried to limit the breaks; no caution Sunday lasted more than two laps. The problem was there were several incidents which, in other series, might have caused a “local yellow” where cars would only slow down at one portion of the track.
It’s also a procedure NASCAR Senior Vice President of Competition Scott Miller made clear the series has no plans to adopt.
“Under no circumstance are we going to have a local yellow with our equipment and our personnel out on the track,” Miller said on SIRIUS XM Radio this week. “Local yellows (are) something that we can talk about, but honestly, I don’t really think that it keeps us from throwing the full-course caution hardly ever.”
Miller went on to say they give cars every opportunity to get going before throwing a full course yellow on a track that big. To be fair, only three of the eight cautions thrown Sunday were listed as accidents.
But that’s also where the controversy comes in. Two other yellows were thrown for debris while a third, for rain, changed the entire outcome of the event. When that decision was made, Chase Elliott was cruising up front and seemed unlikely to be caught by Christopher Bell, Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin or any others. The aftermath caused some wild pit strategies, a number of late-race accidents and scrambled the final running order like shaking up a snow globe.
Lap 57 caution for light rain after 20 laps of green completely changed the race.
+16 Kurt Busch
-31 Kyle Busch
-25 Kyle Larson
-24 Tyler Reddick
-23 Byron, Dillon
-20 Elliott pic.twitter.com/cxGixXGgqL
— Geoffrey Miller (@GeoffreyMiller) February 21, 2021
It would be one thing if the passing shower forced all race teams to switch to rain tires. Hardly. Most stayed on slicks because it rained in only one portion of the course.
No one was hurt more by those circumstances than Elliott, who saw a win go poof as he wound up back in traffic, batted around like a pinball instead. The sport’s best road course racer wound up a ho-hum 21st as his four-race road course win streak fell victim to that dreaded yellow flag.
“When you have those late-race cautions like that, and you have a mixed bag of who stays and who goes, it’s a bit of a gamble either way, I felt like,” Elliott said. “You get back in traffic, and it just gets to be so chaotic, and then just depending on who gets through and who doesn’t kind of determines how it’s going to shake out.”
This weekend, those decisions produced a thrilling finish with Bell winning the first Cup race of his career with a late-race pass. Some unexpected surprises, from Kyle Larson to Kurt Busch, took their swings before ultimately falling short. The excitement surrounding NASCAR’s road courses are palpable, a welcome rebound from a 400-mile, cookie-cutter snoozer.
Was that finish entertaining? Of course! But there’s danger surrounding this honeymoon period. Indeed, the sport often gets itself in trouble long-term over the types of decisions they made on Sunday. Remember the old days on those intermediate ovals, when random debris cautions were thrown to keep the competition honest? Fans’ disdain for the practice eventually created the stage system as these yellows often affected the outcome of the race.
These full-course cautions on road courses, especially when there’s debris in an isolated area, threaten to create the same frustration over time. A blown tire on the backstretch, outside the groove, shouldn’t be the source of a five-minute break on a 3.61-mile road course. Couldn’t NASCAR have trucks strategically positioned to pick up isolated debris? I respectfully disagree with Miller there. To me, that’s the best use of a local yellow; cleanup in the name of safety.
The sport can officiate these track types better.
I don’t think this issue is dead, by any means, especially with NASCAR’s road course ratio up to nearly 20% of the 36-race schedule. Remember when NASCAR came out and said they were sticking with knockout qualifying after no one ran in the final round at Auto Club Speedway two years ago? That commitment didn’t last long. The type of conservatism causing a full-course caution feels like it’s unsustainable in terms of keeping the playing field level.
So don’t be surprised if we see an adjustment before the end of 2021. The NASCAR Camping World Truck Series alone had 20 of its 51 laps run under yellow Friday night, some 39% of the race itself. How do you get in rhythm for a race like that, as a fan, driver or crew chief?
You don’t. And that’s why fixes appear inevitable over time.
Did You Notice? … Two races in, we have some big surprises already pushing their way into playoff contention. Michael McDowell entered 2021 some 16 months removed from a top-five finish. Now? He’s all but punched a ticket as last week’s Daytona 500 champion. McDowell’s eighth-place result on the road course this past weekend marks the first back-to-back top-10 finishes of his Cup career.
And how about Ryan Preece? A driver who was once rumored to be out of the No. 37 Chevrolet, then acquired sponsorship for only 24 races has as many top-10 finishes in 2021 (two) as he did all of last year. A third top 10 at Homestead-Miami Speedway will put some pressure on JTG Daugherty Racing to try running this car the full season regardless of funding.
It’s too early for any big names to worry; after all, the 16th-place driver only has 38 total points. But McDowell and Christopher Bell in the postseason automatically squeeze out at least one 2020 playoff driver for 2021 (Clint Bowyer, who made the postseason last year, is now retired).
The one I’m worried the most about in that group is Matt DiBenedetto. It’s not just Matty D’s rough start (two DNFs, five total points two races in). He’s racing for Wood Brothers Racing as a lame duck while Austin Cindric already came out in a Cup car and impressed in the Daytona 500, leading two laps before fading to 15th.
It’s hard enough for a driver to succeed in a one-year deal: just ask Kasey Kahne how his time at Red Bull Racing went or Bowyer in his one-off disaster with HScott Motorsports before replacing Tony Stewart. But Cindric is already in the Team Penske system. He’s a clear favorite to repeat as NASCAR Xfinity Series champion. It’s a reality much harder for DiBenedetto and the team to shy away from as the year goes on.
That’s why a good start was crucial, for both Matty D’s 2022 audition and the No. 21 Ford staying in the game. That opportunity has now been lost.
Did You Notice? … Quick hits before taking off…
- The Jeff Gordon-Clint Bowyer pre-race rental car battle on FOX was the best segment we’ve seen them do in years. Bowyer is still settling into the booth a bit; sometimes, he’s trying too hard to bring the energy. But it’s clear his addition has rounded out the team, gave the network a much-needed youth movement and kept them competitive with Dale Earnhardt Jr. and NBC’s deep well of talent.
- Joey Logano is one of the most upbeat drivers I’ve ever seen after giving up two straight wins in the final two laps. Honestly, it’s hard to imagine a tougher start for Team Penske considering what might have been. Ryan Blaney’s invisibility Sunday was another big surprise (15th), as he has yet to recover from that Busch Clash, season-opening win-turned-spin.
- Ty Gibbs is the real deal. Don’t let the last name fool you. I dare you to watch that NASCAR Xfinity Series road course race from Saturday, focus on him the whole time (every move that was made), then tell me you’re not a believer. Expectations there are now sky high.
- We have two first-time Cup winners to start the season for the first time since 1950, so three first-time winners seems a bit too much to ask. While already a Cup winner, Kyle Larson has been sneaky fast in his comeback in the No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet, and Homestead-Miami Speedway might be his best oval track. Raise your hand if you had McDowell-Bell-Larson as the opening threesome in victory lane. No one? I’m seeing no one? I thought so.